San Miguel de Allende and León have seen the most rain this season; El Palote is now at 60% capacity.

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San Miguel de Allende and León are two of the municipalities with the most rainfall this season.

In León, as of June 30, the total rainfall was 367 mm (one millimeter of rain is equivalent to one liter of water per square meter). The historical annual rainfall average is 627 mm (24 inches).

As of that date, the El Palote dam is at 60% of its capacity and continues to receive water from the Sardeneta stream, according to the latest report from Conagua.

This has allowed the Metropolitan Park to regain its full splendor as a major ecological reserve.

The Center for Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Guanajuato reported that from June 1 to 25 alone, San Miguel de Allende recorded a total of 223 mm (8.8 inches), while León recorded 186 mm (7.4 inches).

“Accumulated rainfall levels between June 1 and 25, 2025, have been recorded that are close to average; in some locations, they have even exceeded the monthly average,” highlighted meteorological researcher Marcos Esquivel Esquivel Longoria.

Thanks to these rains, the average accumulated rainfall in the 46 municipalities of Guanajuato is 255.1 mm, much higher than the 126.4 mm recorded in 2024 for the same period, and also above the historical average of 187 mm.

As announced since last week, cyclonic activity in the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico will continue to cause rain in the state of Guanajuato, reported Conagua.

“Some rainfall could be relatively intense midweek, so it is recommended to take due precautions to avoid damage to the countryside due to high accumulation of water on the surface, sudden runoff, puddles, flooding, and landslides,” the agency warned.

Accumulated rainfall from June 1 to 25 (in mm)
San Miguel de Allende: 223
León: 186
Irapuato: 171
Dolores Hidalgo: 167
Valle de Santiago: 161
Ocampo: 153
Guanajuato: 115
Acámbaro: 113
San Luis de la Paz: 109
Celaya: 107
San Felipe: 48

Hurricane Flossie is now a Category 2; its effects will also reach Guanajuato with storm surges
Hurricane Flossie strengthened into a Category 2 cyclone Tuesday morning off Mexico’s Pacific coast, meteorologists warned.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center reported that Flossie had maximum sustained winds of 100 mph (155 km/h) and was falling rain over portions of the Mexican coast. The hurricane was centered 245 kilometers (150 miles) southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Flossie was moving northwest at 17 km/h (10 mph) and will likely continue that motion in the coming days. The system should move away from southwestern Mexico by Tuesday night, according to forecasters.

Will it rain in Guanajuato on July 1?

For the state of Guanajuato, Conagua (National Water Commission) forecasts “heavy rainfall with very heavy rainfall” for Tuesday, July 1, and the potential for accumulation of 50 to 75 mm of rain.

The same forecast is indicated for Sonora, Chihuahua, Durango, Nuevo León, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, Nayarit, Querétaro, the State of Mexico, and Chiapas.

San Miguel de Allende y León, donde más ha llovido en esta temporada; El Palote ya está al 60 %

Source: am